Daniel Gershburg

In the latest of what seem to be increasingly ineffective solutions to stem the tide of foreclosures in this Country, the Obama Administration announced a new housing plan that could ultimately help an additional 1 million homeowners across the Country.  The plan would allow banks to refinance loans that are underwater.  In other words, Bob, who has a house that’s worth less than what he owes on the mortgage, now has the pleasure of possibly paying 4% on that loan instead of 6%.  With the extra savings (The White House says around $2500/year will be saved while other studies show the number to be closer to$300), Bob will no doubt support the economy.  Or he will buy stuff he couldn’t afford before….like food.

The first and most important step in stopping foreclosures across the Country is to deal with unemployment crisis.  Nothing else matters unless this changes (or Oprah says “You get a house for free and YOU get a house for free, and YOU…).  This sounds pretty simple, but for some reason, we can’t seem to grasp it.  My clients want to pay for their stuff.  They never come to me to file because they don’t want to pay for their stuff or they want to take advantage of the system.  To the contrary, they’ve likely paid idiotic debt collectors for years (at exorbitant interest rates) because they feel they have a responsibility to try and pay their debts.  The problem isn’t that their mortgage interest rate is too high.  That’s just absurd.  The problem is that many of them are now unemployed or underemployed.  We’re not at 9.1% in this Country.  Thats a mytth.  When you count the number of unemployed and “underemployed people” I would guess we’re likely closer to 17-20%.  You don’t fix housing until you fix that.  You can’t bring the interest rate of a mortgage down by 1% and expect it to change anything at all.  These people need decent paying jobs.  They need money.  Not disposable cash.  But a consistent paycheck, so that they can pay their mortgages.  If you ask someone if they want to pay $2400 for their home or $2516, they’ll obviously pick the former.  But if you ask them if they want to pay $2516 but also have a job that pays them, I’m pretty sure they could care less about the $100 difference.  You cannot put bandaids on someone’s arm when they’re internally bleeding.  You’re wasting time (and band-aids).

To effectively deal with the Housing Crisis, we also have to take definitive steps at addressing our emotions and move forward.  What we’re doing now is a little Waltz.  Dancing around the issue.  Sprinkle some mortgage relief here, maybe some there, and that’s it.  And everything still stays the same.  As I mentioned, we have two camps; they have to make peace or learn to move on.  Unless the guys in the room who think that the people who paid for homes they couldn’t afford deserve relief, we’ll get nowhere.  I understand the mentality.  I get it.  I think it’s much more complicated, but I get it.  But we need someone to reach across and say “Yes, a lot of people messed up and got caught up in the craze, but we need to move beyond this, otherwise nothing gets better.”  Half the Country bought into the notion that Real Estate prices will always go up.  But this Housing crisis has played a tremendous role in the surge of Bankruptcies, and the inability of a family to right their lives.  If you’re stuck paying for a home you can’t afford, you have two choices.  You keep paying and hope you’ll find more money (horrible idea) or you walk away and threaten the property values of your neighbors (horrible idea).  We just have to say “bad idea” and move on and forgive a ton of mortgage principle and fix this thing.  Otherwise we’re going to be pointing fingers at each other while we watch property values continue to drop or stay stagnant.

Unless this Administration, or Congress, or even the private sector, figures out a way to refinance these homes and reduce the principal owed on them, nothing changes.  These interest rate reductions will help close to no one.  It’s a joke.  If we want to effectively deal with the problem, then let’s deal with it.  But if you’re going to tell me that reducing already historically low interest rates for people who barely make enough to keep the lights on, will do anything long term, then I have something to sell you.